please empty your brain below

Interesting - as of this morning you can buy an advance travelcard for Jan 1st off the Oystercard part of TFL (30 days in advance) & currently pay the same as last year. Could this be a limited time way of getting a cut-price annual travelcard - with the assumption that prices will rise?
The National Rail Single from London Bridge to Greenwich is only £3.00 cash. Not sure where £5.50 came from.
I expect that we will hear this week - close to or on the day of the Autumn Statement. It is ridiculously late - it used to be done and dusted in late September or early October.
I don't think this is Boris dithering: comparing fares for today and February, the National Rail website also shows no difference for any fare I tried.
"But there isn't a direct bus from London Bridge to Greenwich, so I've assumed you don't mind a short walk at each end, because otherwise all the fares on this row double and suddenly going by bus isn't good value at all."

If I travel by train, tube or DLR and have to change it doesn't cost extra. Yet if I travel by bus it does. I wish TFL would sort this out, perhaps by making it you can touch in again on another bus for free within a certain time period of paying for a bus journey?
Don't forget that only the taxi takes you door to door.
@ Timbo - I am led to believe that NR have been creating their fares data and it is due to be loaded to their systems imminently. I expect they can't load it to their retail systems until whatever press / govt embargo that exists is lifted. If there is some sort of "big announcement" then no one wants a leak!

My own view is that an increase has been decided on, including whatever "bunce" might be available, and work has carried on in the background. Boris has said he has not decided but I find this hard to believe given the timescales involved in creating, testing and loading fares data plus all the accompanying publicity. There's no small effort involved to update websites these days. It would not be credible for there to be no TfL website update ready to go not long after the official announcement.

@ Jon C - I believe the Mayor has turned down demands for bus transfer tickets. He has also turned down demands for part time season tickets. I am not sure if he has also refused early bird season tickets. Caroline Pidgeon demands these three products every few months and always in the run up the Mayor's fares decision. In recent Mayor's Questions Boris has said "no" as the revenue loss cannot be funded. TfL has also cited the existence of PAYG daily capping as the alternative to transfer tickets. This on the basis that people usually make a return jny and if you use two buses on the outward trip you'll use two on the return thus triggering the bus and tram daily cap. I appreciate life is a bit more involved than that but that's what's been said.
Re bus transfers: I have been to some cities where you pay for a bus once and then you can change buses once or twice, and others where you can continue to travel on the bus for half an hour or an hour.

Is there no equivalent revenue loss on tube or train journeys? Perhaps the revenue loss would be matched be increased journeys, as people switch to the bus?
@ Andrew - I liked bus/tram/trolleybus travel in San Francisco where subsequent touch-ins within 90mins don't count. But also this would leave a big hole in TfL finances. On tube and train etc the zonal system accounts for the changes, longer journeys should cost more as they cross zones.
Perhaps Boris reads DG? Rumours this evening (2/12) suggest the Mayor will make the 2014 Fares announcement tomorrow. Well that's Wednesday's blog entry sorted ;-)
@ Andrew - I think history is a big issue here. Rail has long allowed through ticketing in the UK via the Clearing House long ago and then via the good offices of Rail Settlement Plan in more recent times. There has also been rail to tube through tickets in varying forms for a long while. Buses do not have that historical basis either in London or elsewhere in the UK (there may well be exceptions just before someone lists them!).

We must face the fact that many countries just take a different view about ticketing integration and also the subsidy to pay for it. London's funding has recently been cut by tens of millions of pounds in each of the next three financial years and it is debatable whether there is enough to run services never mind fund fare cuts for people.

We are probably at the point where the various influences on grant funding (downward generally) and peoples' expectations about service levels and fares are simply incompatible. You can't cut grants *and* not put fares up *and* impose efficiency cuts *and* expect more service to be delivered. All the easy efficiency improvements were done 4-5 years ago! Under London's largely contracted model of service operation (DLR, cycle hire, buses, Overground) then more service almost always means more cost and more contract fees to the supplier.
It would be interesting to know how much less expensive the fairs could be if there was no New Vanity Bus For London, no Dangleway and no mothballing of perfectly good bendy busses (or in other words: If there was no Boris).
@Robert Hmm, the National Rail website was only offering London Bridge to Greenwich tickets for £5.50 yesterday, but today it's £3.

So I've changed the fare, rejigged the table and rewritten the paragraph underneath. Thanks.
@PC

Thanks for the background, interesting reading.

Many countries do indeed take a different approach to bus ticketing - most of the places I have visited in Europe and North America understand that passenger may want to make journeys for which a direct bus isn't provided. So instead of charging people extra for the added benefit(?) of having to interrupt their journey by changing buses, they allow transfer at no extra charge.

The Oyster daily price cap does indeed offer a saving compared to four individual fares, but it is nevertheless considerably more expensive than the fare would be if a direct service were offered.

For example, Plumstead Common lies nearly 9 miles from St. Thomas's Hospital. Since there is a direct bus, a round trip costs £2.80 (£1.40 x 2). North Peckham lies a lot closer to St. Thomas's Hospital - a little over 2 miles as the crow flies. Round trip £4.40 (daily cap), because there isn't a direct bus route. So a 5-mile round trip is substantially more expensive than a 17-mile round trip to the same place.
Fare rises of 3.1-4.3% announced this morning.

http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2013/dec/03/london-transport-fares-frozen-2014
Or even 0%, for all but the shortest tube fares.

It seems the captive commuter on a season ticket, and the bus traveller, gets hit with a big increase and the tourist gets the fares frozen.

No sign of the NR fares revision yet.
@ Timbo - if you look at the Mayoral Decision (MD) document (on the london.gov.uk website) you will see the NR PAYG tariff and NR / LU PAYG through fares. They all increase. The MD also makes it clear that the Secretary of State for Transport has endorsed a 4.1% increase in National Rail fares which is what has pushed up Travelcard prices. The only way to effect a freeze in those prices would be for someone to stump up compensatory payments to the TOCs. I think that's for government given the Mayor has little influence over NR franchises. I would not want TfL screwed into the ground even more just to provide money to the TOCs!

It doesn't make things better for those in South London who rely heavily on bus and NR services to get around - all their fares go up.
@ Random Streets - I agree that many cities do offer sensible through ticketing arrangements that are modally agnostic. Many of them may be busy systems but do not face the same chronic problems that London does. We have an old tube system that needs billions spent on it to get it to a healthy condition and to try to squeeze yet more capacity out of it in the face of ever increasing demand. We are also decades behind in building things Crossrail which cost vast sums. We then have asset backlogs on the road network and increasing demands for high quality cycling infrastructure. The shopping list is endless as I am sure you know.

We also have a relatively poor record in this country in being able to plan sensibly over the medium to long term to allow for flexibility in our fares structures while maintaining income and getting costs down. We are also not particularly focused on "social" fares policies except for narrowly defined groups (London is something of an exception though). We tend to expect public transport to be both "cheap", comprehensive and commercially sustainable - a slight contradiction there methinks.

It would be great to have a single, unified fares structure in London that had no interchange fare penalities. I fear, though, that the system could not cope with the suppressed demand that would be unleashed from a relative lowering of people's transport costs. Perversely it might also lead to less revenue and more cost for the transport providers who are already under severe financial pressure. While fare levels are very important I think the bigger crisis is providing a lot of extra capacity and raising the quality of peoples' journeys.
Transfer fares - I am currently having a long and tedious argument with TfL over the lack of decent links between Waterloo and the western half of the City - after pointing out that the "direct" Tube line does not actually call at Blackfriars (which is actually marginally nearer Waterloo than Bank!) they said they were "satisfied" that the combination of 381 and 100 buses was adequate. Obviously not someone who has ever tried to board a 100 on Blackfriars Road in the rush hour. Even if paying two bus fares for such a short journey (and waiting twice in the rain!) were acceptable.
@PC
Thanks for that pointer
So, someone previously using a Z12 off peak travelcard will see a 22% increase
@PC

Thanks for explaining why the rail system in London would struggle to cope with a "modally agnostic" fare structure of the type commonplace on the continent. It's a valid (and interesting) point.

My point was not about a single multi-modal tariff. I was referring specifically to buses. It's understandable that the bus network cannot reasonably be expected to provide a direct link for absolutely every passenger journey. However, where no such direct link is provided, the passenger has not only the inconvenience of having to change and wait for a second time, but is then charged extra for the "privilege"(?!) With Oyster technology, it would surely not be too difficult to recognise a second swipe within a time limit (such as an hour) then apply an hourly cap (equal to one fare) instead of penalising passengers who are required to change buses.










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