please empty your brain below

Did you call it the 25M because it stops at bus stop M?
Really good analysis - thank you .
I think the 25 was the last daytime route where extra buses provided an increased frequency over part of the route (something that was normal practice at one time), the 221 used to have extra buses between Turnpike Lane and North Finchley Mon-Sat daytimes until it was revised from 1st September, its still done on the N207.
Five years ago, those 'extra buses' ran along 90% of the route. Today 60% of the route. Tomorrow 0%.
@Still Anon

To be pedantic, technically, the 166 counts for extra buses only running part of the route... West Croydon - Banstead being a short working.
I also live in Bow so this isn't great - wasn't the 205 cut back a few years ago too? It's annoying as if I've got to be somewhere and not in a rush (and the traffic isn't going to be bad) I'll tend to jump on the bus rather than the tube
@the orange one, if the 166 ran to Epsom daily I'd be on your side, but the extension to Epsom only operates Mon-Sat daytime (in other words an extension to the main route between Croydon and Banstead), whereas the 25 and 221 operate(d) the full route all day every day, with the extra service on top, otherwise you could technically include the 313 and K3.
Today, along with route 38, the 25 is London's most frequent daytime bus.

Tomorrow, it drops out of the top 40.
DG I feel the need to hear Fluff Freeman count down the Top 40 bus routes...

"Up 1 place at Number 7, it's the 73!"

dg writes: Up 1 place at Number 3, it's the 73!"
Also the last day of Abellio Surrey, which fades away after today as a four-bus adjunct to Twickenham garage on the 461; Falcon take over tomorrow.
Route 38 retains a mix of short workings - some to Hackney Central, others to Clapton Pond. The N38 has short workings at the weekends from Walthamstow to Picc Circus.

On the topic of bus usage numbers the update for the 2017/18 financial year should hopefully be published on 17/9/18. I have that info from TfL having chased them as to why the usual update didn't materialise in early Summer.

I think we can take it as read that the 25, a bit like the old 83, will no longer be resident in the top 10 busiest bus routes from 2018/19 onwards. I am half expecting route 18 to have taken the 25's "number 1" spot when the numbers for 2017/18 appear.
I used to use the 25 between Bow and Stratford quite frequently. In the last few years this has dropped for two very specific reasons:

1. Traffic. Pre-CS2 there was a bus lane almost all the way from Bow Flyover through to Stratford. Now you can easily get stuck in the Westfield queues, not to mention the recent gyratory works.

2. Moving Stratford to the Zone 2/3 boundary has meant that Bow residents who are likely to have a Zones 1-2 travelcard can use the DLR to get to Stratford much quicker than the bus.
Interesting. So a previous workhorse bus route was severely disrupted by traffic engineering projects for cyclists and never recovered due to the new road configuration.

Which begs the question why are so much traffic infrastructure resources being wasted on a mode of transport that despite all the hand waving and immense investment still only accounts for what is just a rounding error on zero for all passenger miles traveled daily on all modes of transport in the greater city region. And will always remain that way no matter what vast sums are spent on cyclists. Its overwhelmingly a purely discretionary activity of a very small well defined population cohort. And will remain that way. Totally unlike every other mode of transport. Which all population cohorts can, and do, use.

To me the most fascinating part of the whole urban cycling fad of the last decade or so is the very strong class marker element of the fad. The sort of people you find on bikes in London (and equivalent cities) today, their socio economic class, would not have been found dead cycling a bike in London 30/40 years ago. When I was a daily cyclist.

Because the urban cycling fad has such a strong class marker element, they are mostly well to do middle class types, thats why so much scarce transport investment is spent on what has always been a fringe and irrelevant transportation mode when it comes to mass transport in cities like London.

Much better spending all available transportation infrastructure money on buses, trains, the Tube and keeping the arterials flowing smoothly. Which actually account for 100% (or near enough to make no difference) of all daily passenger miles between them.

If this small minority of people want to cycle on the public roads in high density urban areas maybe they should move back to the much safer suburbs. Which almost all of them in my experience seem to have grown up in. And will in time eventually return to.
Aside from the 38, the 15 surely has to be the busiest??

dg writes: The 15's not even in the Top 200.
Perhaps it also has to do with train fares going down on the introduction of TfL Rail - there are trains, some of them purple, every 10 minutes between Stratford and Iford for the same price (give or take the hopper) at four times the speed.
Quite a rant there jmc. But as we have an obesity epidemic, getting more people into cycles is a good thing. The major claims to want to increase walking and cycling, so I think you're howling at the moon.
There used to be a bus lane most of the way from Aldgate to Stratford. The same roadspace is now a segregated cycle lane. It's absolutely necessary to keep cyclists safe, but very much at the cost of slowing buses down.

Aldgate → Stratford
Ten years ago: 28 mins
Today: 35 mins

(and specifically)

Bow → Stratford
Ten years ago: 9 mins
Today: 11 mins

Like Moogal, I now think twice before catching the bus.
@PC yep no contest, the 38 retains short workings.
@ Geofftech - the 15 has lost 50% of its patronage since 2010. Down from approx 8.4m to 4.2m pass jnys per annum.

Even at its peak (9m p jnys) it was way behind the 25 which was around 22.3m pass jnys. The 25 peaked at around 23.6m pass jnys but it has lost 6.5m p jnys over the 3 years (2014/5 to 2016/7). That shows the impact of the cycle lane works and it may well have gone down even more when we get last year's numbers. It's a lesson in how to destroy a successful bus service.
Did removing the bendy buses have a material impact on numbers? I’m not sure when that was, but I found it much easier to travel on those.

dg writes: 2011.

Instead of having lots of doors to chose from and ample standing room, now you have to force your way past people blocking the entrance and the stairs to get to seats on the upper deck. It’s a much less pleasant experience.

dg writes: So it's not that.
@island dweller. jmc may be howling at the moon, but he is right.
Make kids and students pay fares to discourage them from taking frivolously short journeys would have a far greater impact on overall health, but is not a vote catcher unfortunately.
When the route was converted from conductor to OPO number of journeys per duty dropped to 2 round trips (Ilford to Victoria) from 3+
@ Matthew - There wasn't a particularly large fall on the 25 when bendy buses were taken off. The route put on 7m pass jnys in the two years before it was converted to bendy buses. The big drops on the 25 are coincident with the cycle works as DG says. This will be because of the years of delays, longer journey times and general uncertainty. Now the entire route is appallingly slow. Slow and unreliable services are what is killing bus usage in London. There are multiple causes behind this trend over the last few years. Some politicians blame it all on congestion but that's only one factor.

There are different trends in terms of ridership rises and falls on each of the routes that were run with bendy buses. That makes it very difficult to identify any relationship between bus type and ridership without other relevant supporting data. TfL might have such data but it's not in the public domain.
Scrumpy -

The other view of free travel for young people is that they then use the bus and walk a bit rather than being driven door to door by their parents.
Congestion caused directly by TfL’s/Mayoral policies. Ripping up perfectly good bus infrastructure for cycle lanes which do not transport nearly as many people. Multiple Junction remodelling schemes, and reduction in speed limits along with no clear bus policy.

The saddest thing, most of the Whitechapel to Stratford corridor which the 25 plys its trade could have retained/improved its bus infrastructure and noddles of pavement space and some road space (for cars, van as etc), could have been handed over cycling schemes.

Result could have been, more cycling space (great), more 25 space for faster journeys. Faster bus journeys end to end lead to fewer buses having to be recycled across the same distance.

Instead what we have is an appalling mish mash of nothing, an inadequate cycling network, a bus network ripped apart, yet still increasing numbers of car drivers despite all of congestion charges, hiked parking prices, and new green road taxes etc.

“Oh but it’s ok, hopper ticket, hopper ticket, consultation, consultation, Crossrail, Crossrail, it’ll all be ok”.

TfL/Mayors, well done for playing politics with peoples lives.
Great article. I lived in E3 from 1981 to 2015 so remember the 25 fondly in all its incarnations. The bendys were horrible, always overcrowded not suited to such a long route and badly under bussed. The post bendy increase in frequency was much welcome. The scary thing is the reduction in speed. In the early 1980’s it was possible to run from st Paul’s to Mile End in 15 minutes in a crew operated RM in the early evening. No chance now and the schedule is 26 minutes. This needs to be the subject of laser like focus by LT bus management and cycling is definitely a secondary priority.










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