please empty your brain below
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Boris did everyone a favour by getting so ill he was admitted to hospital, as it bought home to doubters that this is serious, I noticed a change out on the pavement afterwards, with much more room being given, and the queue outside the supermarket being more spread out than before.
It'll be interesting to see if this illness changes him as a person, or has further long term effects in terms of his energy levels.
In the supermarket the alcohol has been restocked and my favorite soup is available again - after a 3 week gap.
Still Anon | 12.04.20 - 8:32 a.m. | #
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Long queues at the supermarket has put paid to me being able to do all my shopping in the one trip so now I'm having to go out twice a week instead!
Cornish Cockney | 12.04.20 - 11:06 a.m. | #
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You might want to prefix 'NHS Nightingale' with 'London' as more Nightingales will be brought into service across the country.
Kevin Too | 12.04.20 - 11:22 a.m. | #
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Rather than looking in isolation (ha ha) at the figures for people who have died with covid-19, I'd be interested to see how total deaths from all causes compare with the same week(s) in previous years. That would provide a much more accurate sense of its impact.
Sarah | Homepage | 12.04.20 - 3:51 p.m. | #
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In England during the week 1st-7th April...
» Number of COVID19 deaths: 4275
» Usual number of deaths: 9546 (5 year average)
So the extra fatalities are 50% of normal.
And that was last week.
diamond geezer | Homepage | 12.04.20 - 4:08 p.m. | #
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Not quite what I was asking - I'm interested in how many of the first figure would be subsumed within the second. You assume that all the C-19 fatalities are 'extra' - that's what I'm wondering about.
And then there are all the people who now haven't died of flu, or car accidents, or norovirus ... So the nett figure is interesting from that perspective too.
Sarah | Homepage | 12.04.20 - 8:21 p.m. | #
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It gets very complicated when you start to consider secondary effects. Expect fewer deaths from road traffic accidents, but more from people delaying seeking medical assistance (e.g. chest pain) or whose healthcare regime is interrupted (e.g. additional deaths from cancer). The statisticians will tell us the answer retrospectively and it won’t be pretty.
In normal times almost 2000 people die each day on average, but many of the hundreds dying each day from coronavirus would not have died this year otherwise.
Andrew | 13.04.20 - 12:12 a.m. | #
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Like all stats, they are often bent at will to serve conflicting purposes. I've heard that it's a median sixteen hundred deaths pd.
You cannot say that all virus deaths are due exclusively to the virus, nor therefore that they're all additional ones.
It will take maths bods several theses post pandemonium to sort it all out.
If will all come out in the wash...
JP | 13.04.20 - 12:35 a.m. | #
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"the provisional number of deaths registered in England and Wales week ending 3 April was 16,387; an increase of 5,246 deaths registered compared with the previous week and 6,082 more than the five-year average." (ONS, 14th April) [graph]
diamond geezer | Homepage | 14.04.20 - 11:03 a.m. | #
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Once the lockdown ends and the pubs open expect a massive influx of people travelling and probably a huge spike in COVID-19 thee weeks later. Its the nature of the beast that until we achieve Herd Immunity or a vaccine that thousands more are going to get sick and die.
Andrew Jarman | 17.04.20 - 5:52 p.m. | #
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