please empty your brain below |
Labour will make big gains in England but with the SNP still winning the majority of Scottish seats it will be difficult for Labour to win an outright majority.
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A hung Parliament with Labour the largest party. I think Lab will avoid a formal coalition with either SNP or LD; and instead will rely on a confidence and supply pact.
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This one.
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The polls currently suggest Labour will be winning big. However I feel this is hubris; in the absence of any radical policy proposals Labour is unlikely to win outright
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Labour won't get an outright majority, but be close. Like Entertained, don't think there will be a formal coalition.
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Hung Parliament. Just hung
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For all these sorts of reasons.
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Scotland prevents a Labour majority.
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Voter apathy and a total distrust of Politicians will deliver a couldn't care less result. Cue further years of being set adrift in a rudderless ship.
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With the changes to voting & constituency boundaries plus the ridiculous Labour infighting I doubt there will be an overall majority - this could be a good thing as it might hasten PR and give us a proper representative government.
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Think this the most likely outcome.
BUT if a long-overdue collapse of SNP support occurs AND if Labour are the principal beneficiaries of that they might just cross the line and get a majority. |
this followed by another election soonish afterwards.. reform party dangerously successful
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Yes
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If the boundary changes happen plus voter ID carries on it'll be too hard for a Labour overall majority.
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Labour’s current healthy lead will evaporate as the electorate weary of multiple strikes in the public sector. Thus the behaviour of Trades Unions will directly prevent Labour gaining a working majority.
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Starmer is not offering a vision so is very vulnerable once the Tories stop handing everything to him on a plate. it looks unlikely at present but stranger things have happened.
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Coalition with some red wall seats moving back to labour. May need a pre-election pact with libdems/SNP/PC to boost the vote.
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Labour lead is likely to diminish as Starmer increasingly panders to “middle ground” voters who might vote for Tory-lite but nothing more radical.
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Barring an SNP collapse. I just don't think the Tory vote will nosedive as much as the polls predict. There are a lot of people who'll still shift blue once they get to the ballot box.
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This one. They have a huge lead in the polls now, but never underestimate Labour's ability to feck things up.
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it's going to be a disaster!
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We haven’t had a majority government of one colour turn directly into a majority government of another since the 1970 general election. It will take two elections for Sir Keir to get his (deserved) majority.
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The electorate will be decisive in delivering an indecisive result.
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Feels a bit like 2010, where the ruling party loses, but the opposition party doesn't do enough to actually win.
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A right-wing press and Labour's ability to squabble amongst themselves will prevent a majority.
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Enough of the country wants change for it to happen, but not enough to make it definitive.
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It'll be like the last US election - the less worse side will win, but not by a large enough margin to inspire confidence
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This one. Minority Lab government who won't make a formal coalition with the SNP but will need to rely on their support to get any legislation passed. Lib Dems and whatever Farage's party du jour is, will both gain a few seats.
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The British electorate has shown itself to be stupid so why not shoot itself in the foot again.
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Reform Party will split the conservative vote, SNP will retain Scotland.
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Tories stand no chance, though I don't think that Labour are strong enough to win a majority
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Labour won't do a formal coalition with the SNP but perhaps could with the LibDems so I think some form of minority government with a Labour PM, and a confidence and supplyb deal with most of the small parties
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Just to pin my tail on the donkey of “the SNP will win too many seats for Labour to get a majority” but… I think the SNP are starting to come to the end of their dominance as I think they are starting to annoy people away from the independence debate.
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The "threat" of Boris coming back will get more voters of all persuasion out.
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This one
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This one
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This one as I just can't imagine Labour actually achieving a majority
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