please empty your brain below

Who knows. A few decades earlier and you'd not ever have written a blog. A few decades later and there may not be anything to write a blog about.
1944-1951: missed WW2; growth in prosperity,; NHS + welfare state; final salary company pensions; affordable mortgages and exponential capital growth in house prices; free bus passes ...... not things that 1990 and 2010 births will enjoy so much, if at all.
In parallel with the increase in life expectancy has been the increase in education. Educated people are not in favour of war. Educated people see through the idea of the supernatural and all its religious manifestations. Educated women choose the size of their families. With education comes civilisation.

At present the world is divided. Much of this world is still in a state that this country was two, three, four centuries ago. Lacking education, these people live a tribal existence with wars, extreme belief in supernatural gods, and with an unrestricted birthrate leading to hardship and famine.

The hope for the 21st century is education.
One argument is that the person born in 1970 is far more likely to own their own home than the one born in 1990 or at the very least have purchased it at a decent price. As opposed to the buy anything for the "dream" of getting on the property ladder that the 1990 child may have to do despite the cost or desire to live there permanently.

For what it's worth, I was born in 1981 and I have no desire to get mortgaged up as I like the freedom to move wherever I want to whenever I want
Don't deaths in childhood (or young women dying giving birth) skew the averages?, if you cut those out, then a 'historical' adult lived much the same length of time as a 'modern' adult.

Of course with the increase in antibiotic resistance we may see a return to the 'good old days'.
A very long life blighted by illness and declining capabilities isn't something I'd want to mark as desirable.
My grandad was born in 1930. That paragraph is worryingly spot on
Deaths in childhood skewed average life expectancy quite significantly up to the early 20th century. Children born in 1850 who made it to the age of five, for example, generally lived an extra decade.

But this is a post about the best year to be born, and infant mortality has a big part to play in that.
Thank you for a highly thought-provoking blog DG. Thoughts about the future go hand in hand with hopes and fears for the Born in 2010 group. I wonder about a decline in education in the US and to an extent in the UK, with inevitable resort to Daily Mail-induced conflict, extreme belief, inability to think. That brings war. And I agree with B, no point in long life expectancy in a state of vegetation. A 2010 child may need to learn Mandarin to get along in the world in the 2050s, and learn the ways of a deeply historic, able and paternal society that will be the greatest influence on their lives. The US, UK and EU in decline will make for interesting times for the youngsters around us now. Maybe the well educated may be able to make this the best time to be born - they have the technology and brains to think. Just don't bother with reading the 'news' every day.
*cough* 2004 *cough*
So this indicates that 1950s was the best time to be born and we are now going backwards. Well done the polititians
Indeed, the post war and baby boom generations - no one before or after has had it so good: relatively low infant mortality; free education and/or jobs for all; free healthcare; final salary company pensions; relatively cheap housing; better and cheaper standard of living; relatively fewer aged dependents to look after (most of whom lived through at least one world war, and were less demanding and just grateful for anything they got).

Let's just hope we manage to avoid the red for the foreseeable future. I fear some sort of European war has become more likely in the last couple of years. And climate change could screw everything up.
Hmmm. Male or Female?

dg writes: The figures are an average of the two.

And presumably we're talking about someone born within ear shot of Bus Stop M.
Born four days into 1950. Glad to know that statistically I have 13 years left -- but hoping for a few more after that.
Boomer here, it’s true looking back that those were blessed years to be born in.
Of course being brought up by a generation, which had known the horrors of war helped.
The future is unknown.
But with the rise of intolerance throughout the world, I wouldn’t bet on a peaceful future.
I strongly disagree with RayL.

There are always greed and (the feeling of) unfairness in the society. Education may let everyone have more ability to improve their own life, but not everyone manage to succeed and they might think themselves unfairly treated.

The hope is not (only) education, but more ways (than education) to allow fair social status migration.
I've always felt very sorry for those born in the 1890s. Assuming they themselves survived the conflict during WW1 they then faced sending their sons and daughters off to fight in WW2.

My parents were born in the 1930s and have had a wonderful life, including (so far) 25 years of comfortable retirement and enjoyable travel.

My husband & I are 1960s children and well and truly the current sandwich generation. Retirement seems a distant and rather worrying affair, wondering if there'll still be an NHS or elderly care left!

My children are 1990s/2000s kids.They already feel their lives have been screwed over, thanks to Brexit and now Trump. I worry for them, but they are all still in education at the moment, so "real life" hasn't quite started for them yet.
For all those 'Boomers' who talk about the NHS and pensions, I reckon there is a significant chance that neither will exist in their present form within your remaining lifetime.
@Cornish Cockney: The 1980s born probably suffer the most. They can't surpass the 60/70-er's and they are less creative or revolutional than the 90/00'ers.
@Cornish Cockney
"They already feel their lives have been screwed over, thanks to Brexit and now Trump."

Why?
@Still anon

Assuming that is true, If I sell my property for even 50% of what it's now worth, I'll still be better off than most.
Boomers definitely had it Best. None of the horrors of war, wondering if you'd even live through the night to see the next morning. All the fun and optimism of the Swinging 60s, the pirate radio ships, free university education, and no-one had heard of HIV/AIDS.

You filled the tank with Super National and whizzed off along the empty roads without a speed camera in sight. The future was only going to get better and better, robots would do all the drudgery, and getting a better job was was easy as changing buses. If you needed to see the doctor, you just popped along to the surgery before 10am, no appointment needed.

Property was affordable, and buying / moving wasn't a problem because stamp duty applied only to mansions and palaces.

In contrast, Generation Rent starts off crippled by student debt, looking forward to an Orwellian future where privacy is unknown, their pension age is far higher and their pensions are almost worthless.
@Boxer "Why?"

The staggering lack of empathy that you and so many others seem to share truly astounds me (one of the 1990 crowd). We are written off as "the elite" and "overeducated" (term used the Times in their "how much an elite are you" survey) when in fact we are acting in everyone's best interests, not just our own. None of the Trump or brexit camp's lies will come true, and in 5 years when people have realised it will be too late to salvage my future, and that *hurts*. As if we will have £350M more to spend on the NHS on reverting to WTO rules because of macho nonsense ("no deal is better than a bad deal"), if it exists by then with May and Hunt doing their best to destroy it while hiding behind idiotic spin (hospital beds full because of gutted social care? Well if your GP was open on a Sunday that would solve everything...). Picking a convenient bogeyman (immigrants, the poor, whatever) while ignoring the real causes is not going to make things better.

Yes, with my "elite and overeducated" background I'm partially insulated from the economic shock personally (though my life faces upheaval and shattered dreams - I live and work in a non-UK country, my partner is from another and works in a third where we met) but I do actually care about other people. Until a few years ago, the future did look a rosy green, but in recent years there has been a rapid and terrifying rise of anti-intellectualism that is lapped up by a subservient public, spoon-fed by a media elite far more powerful and less conscientious than the academic elite they criticise. If that isn't a hallmark of bad things to come I don't know what is. How you can expect me to believe in a better future for everyone, while evidence on how to bring that about is shouted down by populists with no interest in planning beyond solidifying their grip on power, is beyond me.
Some though-provoking points, both in the article and in comments.

I do find both are rather confused as to whether referring to a typical citizen of Britain, or a typical citizen of the world.

The former will be very much influenced by the Brexit stuff, the latter rather less so. Only Brits (or citizens of other developed country which have followed similar paths) can even be sure of enough to eat every day. Only the same subset will have been as affected by the so-called "World Wars". People in Vietnam, or Brazil, say, will have very different high and low decades.

But all the talk of the 2100s etc does rather assume that there will be civilised humans alive then. The failure to detect extra-terrestrial radio signals tells me that the average lifespan of a species which develops radio (and with it, means to destroy itself) must by very short.
@Seeing red: "Picking a convenient bogeyman (immigrants, the poor, whatever) while ignoring the real causes is not going to make things better." -- true, but tackling the real causes usually involves too much vested interest.

People should stop lamenting the time is getting worse -- it's more strange if bad eras no longer come. After all, nothing -- even the Universe itself -- lasts forever.
Read somewhere: 'Born 1903 - very good year to be born - too young for the first war, too old for the second'

'Most of our people have never had it so good' Harold McMillan, 1957. Can any subsequent prime minister honestly say the same about a higher proportion of our people?

From diamondgeezer.blogspot.co.uk/2011/09/born-too-late.html : before 1950.

But a lot depends the weight placed on the chance of life being cut short (much less for those born after about 1945)
An interesting blog today and one with no definitive answer. How does one trade off the material benefits of today against some of the benefits of yesterday eg less overcrowding, less environmental pressures? I was born in 1946 and well remember the bitter winter of 1962/63, living as I and most others did then in a house with neither central heating nor double glazing. Every morning for months, literally, one woke up to ice frozen inside the bedroom window. Whether or not you own your own home today, you are likely to be warmer! Slightly more frivolously, if you are say a football fan, you can watch it on TV in HD whereas any football on TV in the 50s was a blurry black and white. Opportunities to travel are vastly increased. Having said this, I think the uncertainties facing the world today are increasing and maybe my generation has been the luckiest.
It's worth noting that the life expectancies at birth that DG uses give an idea of how long people born at that time would live if they lived their whole lives in the conditions of that year. It's a calculation that can be made at the time, without any knowledge of future death rates. The actual average lifespan of someone born in 1850 would probably be slightly higher than 41, since someone who reached 20 would have been less likely to die in 1870 (for example) than someone who was 20 in 1850. This is even more true for 1950, once infant mortality is less relevant. (On the other hand, the 1930 figures wouldn't account for WWII at all.)
@Gerry
"None of the horrors of war, wondering if you'd even live through the night to see the next morning."

No major wars, but still plenty of fighting going on for the rest of the 20th, any of which threatened to erupt into something more at various points. And as someone born in '74, wondering if you'd live through the night was still an occasional nightmare up until the late 1980s.

One way that the 90s+ generations have it good is that they're the first generation not to even worry about being swallowed by war or obliterated by the Bomb. The resident 19 year-old watched Threads with us a while back, and while he still thought it was pretty horrifying it in no way affected him in the way it did for us. It was simply unimaginable, and therefore not as scary.
I reckon 1929 was the best year to be born (assuming you survived the depression & WW2). Too young to fight in the war, and aged 16 in 1945 just in time to enjoy the extremely long post war economic boom.
@ Chz @ Adrian

With bombers overhead, the fear of not living through the night must have been a very real prospect; indeed, it was a fate that befell thousands. I can't see how the theoretical fears of the 70s and 80s can be considered similar.

Even out in the relatively safe countryside it must have been heart rending to hear and see a V1 doodlebug buzzing along on its deadly way, realising that some people's lives were about to end horrifically in just a few minutes and there was absolutely nothing that you could do about it. And with the V2 terror weapon you didn't even have the chance to take cover before the rocket exploded.

Boomers definitely had it best, nothing worse than the last few years of rationing.
The NHS is not 'free', and never has been. Can we have some realism here? What we now enjoy has been paid for by earlier generations, or the money to pay has been created by those generations so that it can be borrowed now.

I doubt whether any under 25 year old has done anything to pay for the schools which he attended, or the roads he now uses, or the house in which he lives. This is even more true of any recent immigrants.

So please give due credit for the boomers and the pre-boomers, whose hard work and savings habits have done so much for the present generations.

All these facilities which have been created are going to need enormous amounts of upkeep in the future. Any more new houses, hospitals, roads etc etc are going to need even more upkeep. Just their maintenance will be a big burden, let alone any further increase in capacity.

Which is where the 'present' generations should come in and do their stuff. Remember that you get what you pay for - or what someone else pays for.
Generalisations are misleading (no doubt including this one) but a comparison of two members of the 1930 cohort - my own parents - shows how different lives could be - one of my grandfathers was a senior civil servant, the other spent a large chunk of the 1930s unemployed in the Great Depression. This obviously affected my parents' respective upbringings.
One of my parents was privately educated, and spent the War with relatives in rural Devon, where there was more risk from the condition of theancient school bus than from any bombs. The other lived in London throughout the war, moving house and school several times as homes or father's workplaces got bombed.
I'm not sure how much good the (often out of date and crumbling) capital endowment of the NHS is going to do without the £120 *billion* that is spent on providing medical services each year, much of which goes on drugs and the salaries of the medical and other clinical or clinical support staff.

People under 25 and immigrants pay income tax and NICs and VAT, just like the rest of us. They tend to be younger and healthier than the rest of the population, and so make less use of NHS services than older people, but they pay the same taxes nonetheless.
@anon 13.02.17 4:59pm

The mentioning of "someone else is paying your blah blah blah" is already toxic enough. In some aspects, nobody is more reliable than oneself.










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