please empty your brain below
Maybe a Starmer/Whoever combination would work as well.
Truss will repel northern Tory voters (if her back-stabbing 'colleagues' have not replaced her within the next 12 months.)
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please empty your brain below |
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I don't think Labour can scrape a majority without Scotland. Truss may turn out to be popular with the voters, but right now she certainly isn't.
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Labour *should* get an easy majority, which is why they’ll somehow find a way not to. They’ve never quite grasped the idea that political parties mainly exist to win elections.
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I see no realistic scenario between SNP keeping 35+ seats and their vote collapsing below 20. There's also a bunch of seats Labour took in 1997 they might not get now. Labour will end up with 300-320 seats.
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With the SNP winning most traditional Labour seats in Scotland it'll be very difficult for Labour to secure a outright majority. We'll probably end up with a coalition involving Lib Dems and maybe the SNP.
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I suspect we’ll have an election before September 2023
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Probably something like this, I suppose. But it's all about getting people my age to vote, and compared to older voters, my age group vote in much smaller numbers, for all the parties.
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From where Labour were in the last election, it is a very big step to getting an overall majority and may well be too much for them. This seems a more likely outcome.
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Agreed that labour's total loss of Scotland makes a UK majority just about impossible.
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I hope this is the outcome and the progressive parties have to form a coalition - and introduce PR so everyone's vote counts.
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The tabloid press still hold enough sway over many and will push for a Tory government. A lot of people are going lap up the Thatcher cos-playing, French slagging off, tax cutting populist nonsense.
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I can see the tired Conservatives losing seats, but no great enthusiasm for Labour either, so Labour will have to lead a minority or coalition government.
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After what will be 15 years by the next one, I think enough people will be up for a change. Not enough for a majority, but enough to un-seat The Iron Weathercock.
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We’ve run out of people worth voting for (again) but, yes, a coalition seems most likely at the moment.
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wishful thinking
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The nearest option to "none of the above".
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Spurred on by my "success", I reckon the next election is Labour's for the taking but they'll screw it up. Enough to go into a minority government with support - and probably at the "cost" of electoral reform.
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If the electorate gets organised and does some proper tactical voting then the fiddles and gerrymandering can be overcome but it will be a close run thing.
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Labour minority govt, with SNP and Lib Dems forcing them into electoral reform, so that under PR we never have to have a Tory govt again.
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Election in May 2023, hung parliament followed by a Lab/Lib Dem/Green coalition.
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I thought the Cameron/Clegg combination worked well - Clegg acted as a brake on Cameron.
Maybe a Starmer/Whoever combination would work as well. |
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Bring on a Coalition of Chaos. Anything's got to be better than this.
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A desperate coalition
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Ideally a majority to get changes made, but will settle for this.
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Tories are on course to lose a substantial number of seats but I think Labour will fall short of a majority. So a Labour minority government with Lib Dems providing 'supply and motion' support.
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Some kind of lib/lab coalition seems a likely scenario
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A very reluctant coalition.
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A coalition. Happy days. The last one went well. Might work better with the SNP if Keith hadn't ruled this option out...
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After 12+ years the Tories have pissed off any potential coalition partners. But without recovery in Scotland Labour won't get a majority. So Labour largest party in a hung parliament - probably a minority administration.
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Yes
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Need SNP coalition. Then devolution for Scotland. Then a thousand year Tory reign 😢
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Growth of smaller parties. Still not enough to disrupt the system, but more representation across the country.
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This one - gut feeling
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Labour supported by lib-dems in coalition or confidence/supply
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Would like to see a Labour majority. But I think this outcome is more likely.
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It should be a walk in for Labour. But with Starmer's Labour so weak, timid and uninspiring, I'm guessing few people will feel motivated to get out to vote for them.
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As others have said, the SNP will get virtually every seat in Scotland. That's going to make it very tough for labour to get the outright majority
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Starmer can bounce in the country if Truss keeps making mistakes. He's got nothing interesting to offer, but that's still better than the dumpster fire we've just lit in parliament.
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The real question is how much of our cheese we’ll be importing.
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Pfft! This one
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There's no way Tories are winning this after the whole fiasco that has been this term.
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It's going to be a Lab/Lib (SNP?) coalition.
Truss will repel northern Tory voters (if her back-stabbing 'colleagues' have not replaced her within the next 12 months.) |
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Unlikely to have a formal coalition which may lead to a fairly unstable government
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Tactical voting may well see a bitterly divided coalition which will see the back of Scotland
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